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Political polling

Governing parties command major lead also in the capital

Fidesz-KDNP is the leading party among committed voters in the Hungarian capital; 45 percent of this group would vote for the governing parties were elections held now, a survey carried out by Nézőpont Intézet has revealed. According to the poll, a fourfold dead heat has effectively developed between MSZP (13 percent), LMP (11 percent) and DK (10 percent), but the Momentum Movement also commands 7 percent support in the capital.

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Nézőpont Intézet conducted its public opinion poll in Budapest between 17th October and 12nd November 2017 in Budapest. This carries importance because the capital is home to one-fifth of voting-age citizens and the opposition also sees it as a battlefield of exceptional importance. However, 32 percent of the capital’s adult population appears to support ruling parties, which is statistically identical to the latest national finding of 31 percent. In conclusion, Fidesz-KDNP maintains a major lead also in Budapest. In the capital, MSZP is supported by 8 percent of the total population, followed by DK and LMP (6 percent each) and the Momentum Movement (4 percent). Support for thee parties is higher in the capital than the nationwide average (according to the latest national poll, 5 percent backed MSZP nationwide, followed by DK at 4 percent, LMP at 3 percent and Momentum at 2 percent). In the case of Jobbik, the situation is reversed; one-tenth of the total national population, but only 4 percent of the capital’s inhabitants, support Gábor Vona’s party.

According to the most likely results by party list, corresponding to the potential party preference of those claiming to cast their vote with certainty, governing parties top the league at 45 percent, roughly identical to their 44 percent nationwide performance.  According to the poll, a fourfold dead heat has effectively developed between MSZP (13 percent), LMP (11 percent) and DK (10 percent), but the Momentum Movement also commands 7 percent support in the capital. The aforementioned parties are in an advantage in Budapest over their nationwide backing in this case too (according to the latest polls, MSZP is eligible for 10 percent of votes cast by party list, followed by DK at 8 percent, LMP at 7 percent and Momentum at 4 percent). Here again, Jobbik fares below its nationwide average; while party is likely to gain one-fifth of votes cast by party list nationally, only 6 percent would vote for it in the capital.

Methodology: 

Nézőpont Intézet’s personal questionnaire-based public opinion poll was carried out between 17th October and 12nd November 2017 by asking 1000 people. The sample is representative of the Budapest population aged 18 and above by gender, age ad educational attainment. In the case of a 1000-person sample, the maximum margin of error is 3.2 percent.