No mood to change mayors

Competition of parties

Fidesz-KDNP continues to lead with a convincing advantage in the competition of the parties, 33 percent of all the respondents sympathises with the governing parties – turns out from the public opinion poll by phone of 1,000 representative persons by Nézőpont Intézet, which was prepared between 21-24 July to the order of Heti Válasz.

At the same time the support of Fidesz decreased compared to the previous month (by 4 percent) and fell back to the level of November, measured before the parliamentary election campaign.

Because of the divisions of the left-wing, the far-right Jobbik continues to be the second most popular party among all the respondents, with support of 13 percent. The order of the three left-wing parties, which still ran jointly in the parliamentary elections, reflects the result of the European parliamentary elections: MSZP (Hungarian Socialist Party) was the strongest with 7 percent, DK (Democratic Coalition) was second with 5 percent, whereas Együtt-PM (Together-PM) had sympathisers of 3 percent among all the respondents. The support of the green LMP is currently 6 percent among the respondents.

With election participation of 57 percent, the potential support data follow the trends visible in the total population. In this circle Fidesz-KDNP, with its 41 percent potential support, has the advantage as well. The potential support of Jobbik is 23 percent, MSZP has 13 percent, DK and LMP has 8-8 percent, respectively, whereas Együtt-PM has 6 percent.

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Satisfaction with the mayor is irrespective of whether the leader of the given settlement is on the governing side, the left-wing or independent. Namely the proportion of satisfaction with the settlement leadership is approximately two-thirds in every case. However, of those sympathisers of the governing party who live in a settlement directed by a leader of the governing party, 87 percent are satisfied with the work of the leader of the given settlement.

Of course it is not possible to outline an exact picture about the judgement of the leadership of the settlement in connection with each settlement from a national measurement, but the results show that, looking at the nation-wide level, the majority of the society are currently satisfied with the work of the local leaders. All of these may be good news for the current settlement leaders running again, on the other hand these may be bad news for their challengers.

You can download the full poll in English here.

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Competition of parties after the EP elections

According to the first public opinion poll of Nézőpont Intézet after the European parliamentary elections, Fidesz-KDNP continues to lead the competition of the parties with a confident advantage. In the public opinion poll by phone of 1,000 representative persons, performed between 16-28 June to the order of Heti Válasz, 37 percent of all the respondents said that he was a sympathiser of Fidesz-KDNP. Of the three left-wing parties, MSZP (Hungarian Socialist Party) had 8 percent of all the respondents, DK (Democratic Coalition) had 4 percent and Együtt-PM (Together-PM) had 3 percent. The power relations of the three left-wing parties are constantly rearranging, it is not yet clear in the long-term who takes what position among these parties.

The green LMP has similar support as DK – 4 percent –, whereas the far-right Jobbik is currently the second strongest party with its 11 percent of sympathisers, taking advantage of the divisions of the left-wing.

With election activity of 59 percent, the potential support data show a similar structure. Fidesz leads with 47 percent, the governing party is followed by Jobbik with 19 percent, whereas the strongest party of the left-wing is MSZP with 14 percent. LMP and DK has 7-7 percent, respectively, whereas Együtt-PM has a 6 percent support among the potential voters.

You can download the full poll in English here.

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