Growth in support for Viktor Orbán’s reelection bid

47 percent of the total adult population, corresponding to close to 3.9 million people, would support the reelection of Viktor Orbán as Prime Minister of Hungary, a survey carried out by Nézőpont Intézet for the daily newspaper Magyar Idők has found. The poll also points out that three in ten backers of Jobbik would not support Gábor Vona’s election as Prime Minister. Ferenc Gyurcsány is favoured by half (46 percent) of left-wing voters.

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Central Europeans support NATO and the United States but expect more from Trump

Close to six in ten people (56 percent of the population) support NATO in the organization’s Central European member states, a survey carried out by Nézőpont Intézet in Hungary and ten other Central European countries has found. While the United States is judged somewhat more negatively, close to half (48 percent) of respondents nevertheless have a rather positive opinion of the U. S. in the eleven countries covered by the poll. According to the research, the relative majority (43 percent) of Central Europeans would strengthen political ties between their respective countries and the United States, while an even larger share – 57 percent of respondents – support the enhancement of economic relations with the U. S.

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Minor changes in the party race: Jobbik and MSZP in decline, LMP and Fidesz on the increase

Realignments in the party race remained within the margin of error in the course of October. While support for Jobbik and MSZP slightly declined, both LMP and the Fidesz-KDNP alliance gained some strength, a survey prepared by Nézőpont Intézet for the daily newspaper Magyar Idők reveals.

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In October, 31 percent of the total adult population backed governing parties; the 1 percent growth compared to September is within the margin of error. The Jobbik camp is now at 10 percent following a 1 percent contraction, while MSZP supporters now amount to no more than 5 percent after a further drop of 1 percent. This represents an exceptionally low level of support in terms of the whole of the 2014 electoral cycle in the case of both Jobbik and MSZP. DK and LMP continue to command the support of 4 and 3 percent of the total adult population respectively. The Momentum Movement and the Two-Tailed Dog Party are both backed by 2 percent, while Együtt and the Hungarian Liberal Party are each supported by 1 percent of the population.

With regard to the most likely results by party list, corresponding to the party preferences of voters claiming to take part in elections with certainty, Fidesz-KDNP currently commands a 44 percent camp. Jobbik is eligible for 19 percent of votes cast by party list, somewhat below its 2014 election result. It should be pointed out that Gábor Vona’s party would have gained 21 percent of votes by party list were elections held last month, down by 1 percent compared to the previous month. MSZP also lost 1 percent of its support on this base and would now reach 10 percent of the vote by party list. Somewhat trailing the Socialists, DK remains stable at 8 percent with regard to votes cast by party list, while LMP’s camp has reached 7 percent. Based on votes cast by party list, the Momentum Movement would gain 4 percent of the vote, ahead of the Two-Tailed Dog Party (3 percent), Együtt (2 percent), and the Hungarian Liberal Party and Párbeszéd (1 percent each).

Methodology: Nézőpont Intézet’s in-person public opinion survey was conducted between 2-15 October 2017 by asking 2000 persons. The sample is representative pertaining to the population age 18 and over by gender, age, region, settlement type and level of education. In the case of a 2000 person sample and a 95 percent reliability rate, the margin of error is 2.2 percent.

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Half of even opposition supporters expect Viktor Orbán’s reelection

Half a year before general elections scheduled for 2018, close to two-thirds (64 percent) of the total adult population and half (50 percent) of even opposition supporters expect the reelection of Viktor Orbán as Prime Minister, a public opinion survey carried out by Nézőpont Intézet for Magyar Idők, a daily newspaper, reveals.

According to the poll, close to two-thirds (64 percent) of the total adult population believes that Viktor Orbán will remain Prime Minister of the country following elections in 2018. On the same base, only 6 percent expect Gábor Vona to be elected Prime Minister, while 3 percent of the total adult population expect to see Ferenc Gyurcsány as head of government. The same is seen as likely for Gergely Karácsony, Bernadett Szél and Gábor Fodor each by 1 percent of the population.

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Majority of Hungarians against the replacement of government

48 percent of the total adult population and 57 percent of those pledging to cast their vote in elections would not favour a change of government on 2018, a public opinion poll carried out by Nézőpont Intézet reveals.

According to the poll, 48 percent of the total adult population would not like to see the incumbent government voted out of office in 2018, as opposed to only 35 percent who would be happy to see this happen. Curiously, an average of 14 percent of opposition supporters would also not like to see the government removed. The share of those not preferring this scenario is 20 percent within the left-wing camp (MSZP, DK, Együtt, Párbeszéd and the Hungarian Liberal Party), 17 percent among Jobbik supporters, 15 percent among Momentum sympathisers and 4 percent among LMP backers. 28 percent of respondents with an undisclosed party preference would also be unhappy to see the incumbent cabinet leave office. Among those pledging to cast their vote at elections, the share of respondents wanting to see the government removed is even slighter. Close to six in ten decided voters (57 percent) would not favour a change in government, as opposed to only a third (34 percent) who would support such a scenario.

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