Hungarians and Germans see each other’s countries positively, though there is disagreement on migration

Those harbouring a positive opinion of the other country form the majority in both countries, according to a survey carried out by Nézőpont Intézet in Germany and Hungary. However, there is a difference in the assessment of the Hungarian cabinet’s migration policy, with two-thirds (67 percent) of Hungarians supporting and the majority (55 percent) of Germans rejecting it. Curiously, the majority in both countries believe that the two states have equally profied of bilateral economic relations over the past ten years.

The poll points out that those harbouring a rather positive opinion of the other country form the majority in both countries. In Germany, the relative majority (48 percent) of respondents formed a positive opinion of Hungary. In the case of Hungary, the 53 percent share of those having a positive opinion of Germany is even more favourable. As opposed to this, 43 percent of Germans formed a negative opinion of Hungary, while less than a third (27 percent) of Hungarians have a rather poor opinion of Germany.

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Growth in support for Viktor Orbán’s reelection bid

47 percent of the total adult population, corresponding to close to 3.9 million people, would support the reelection of Viktor Orbán as Prime Minister of Hungary, a survey carried out by Nézőpont Intézet for the daily newspaper Magyar Idők has found. The poll also points out that three in ten backers of Jobbik would not support Gábor Vona’s election as Prime Minister. Ferenc Gyurcsány is favoured by half (46 percent) of left-wing voters.

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Central Europeans support NATO and the United States but expect more from Trump

Close to six in ten people (56 percent of the population) support NATO in the organization’s Central European member states, a survey carried out by Nézőpont Intézet in Hungary and ten other Central European countries has found. While the United States is judged somewhat more negatively, close to half (48 percent) of respondents nevertheless have a rather positive opinion of the U. S. in the eleven countries covered by the poll. According to the research, the relative majority (43 percent) of Central Europeans would strengthen political ties between their respective countries and the United States, while an even larger share – 57 percent of respondents – support the enhancement of economic relations with the U. S.

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Minor changes in the party race: Jobbik and MSZP in decline, LMP and Fidesz on the increase

Realignments in the party race remained within the margin of error in the course of October. While support for Jobbik and MSZP slightly declined, both LMP and the Fidesz-KDNP alliance gained some strength, a survey prepared by Nézőpont Intézet for the daily newspaper Magyar Idők reveals.

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In October, 31 percent of the total adult population backed governing parties; the 1 percent growth compared to September is within the margin of error. The Jobbik camp is now at 10 percent following a 1 percent contraction, while MSZP supporters now amount to no more than 5 percent after a further drop of 1 percent. This represents an exceptionally low level of support in terms of the whole of the 2014 electoral cycle in the case of both Jobbik and MSZP. DK and LMP continue to command the support of 4 and 3 percent of the total adult population respectively. The Momentum Movement and the Two-Tailed Dog Party are both backed by 2 percent, while Együtt and the Hungarian Liberal Party are each supported by 1 percent of the population.

With regard to the most likely results by party list, corresponding to the party preferences of voters claiming to take part in elections with certainty, Fidesz-KDNP currently commands a 44 percent camp. Jobbik is eligible for 19 percent of votes cast by party list, somewhat below its 2014 election result. It should be pointed out that Gábor Vona’s party would have gained 21 percent of votes by party list were elections held last month, down by 1 percent compared to the previous month. MSZP also lost 1 percent of its support on this base and would now reach 10 percent of the vote by party list. Somewhat trailing the Socialists, DK remains stable at 8 percent with regard to votes cast by party list, while LMP’s camp has reached 7 percent. Based on votes cast by party list, the Momentum Movement would gain 4 percent of the vote, ahead of the Two-Tailed Dog Party (3 percent), Együtt (2 percent), and the Hungarian Liberal Party and Párbeszéd (1 percent each).

Methodology: Nézőpont Intézet’s in-person public opinion survey was conducted between 2-15 October 2017 by asking 2000 persons. The sample is representative pertaining to the population age 18 and over by gender, age, region, settlement type and level of education. In the case of a 2000 person sample and a 95 percent reliability rate, the margin of error is 2.2 percent.

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Half of even opposition supporters expect Viktor Orbán’s reelection

Half a year before general elections scheduled for 2018, close to two-thirds (64 percent) of the total adult population and half (50 percent) of even opposition supporters expect the reelection of Viktor Orbán as Prime Minister, a public opinion survey carried out by Nézőpont Intézet for Magyar Idők, a daily newspaper, reveals.

According to the poll, close to two-thirds (64 percent) of the total adult population believes that Viktor Orbán will remain Prime Minister of the country following elections in 2018. On the same base, only 6 percent expect Gábor Vona to be elected Prime Minister, while 3 percent of the total adult population expect to see Ferenc Gyurcsány as head of government. The same is seen as likely for Gergely Karácsony, Bernadett Szél and Gábor Fodor each by 1 percent of the population.

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