migansok
AnalysesPolitical polling

OVER HALF OF OPPOSITION SUPPORTERS SATISFIED WITH THE GOVERNMENT’S IMMIGRATION POLICIES

68 percent of Hungarians are satisfied with the cabinet’s management of illegal border crossings, with over half – 51 percent – of opposition supporters also backing the cabinet in this respect – as Nézőpont Intézet’s most recent public opinion poll confirms at the request of Heti Válasz. According to the poll, there has been no substantial change in popular support for parties since July; governing parties continue to have a major lead over opposition groups.

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According to the findings of the research, 68 percent of Hungarians are satisfied with the cabinet’s management of illegal border crossings, with over half – 51 percent – of opposition supporters also backing the cabinet in this respect. Eight out of ten Hungarians, or 81 percent of respondents, remained concerned that the wave of illegal immigrants may include terrorists, while close to four-fifths (79 percent) of respondents reject migrants’ compulsory resettlement to Hungary. The significance of the matter overrides party sympathies, which is well reflected by the fact that seven out of ten voters with an undisclosed party preference (74 percent of those disinterested or less interested in politics), but even two-fifths (41 percent) of left-wing voters are also opposed to the quota system.

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In popular support for parties, there have been no substantial changes (alterations exceeding 1 percentage point) since July. Party competition continues to be lead by Fidesz-KDNP, with 32 percent of the entire adult population supporting ruling parties. On an identical base, 12 percent back Jobbik, 10 percent would vote for the Socialists, 6 percent for DK, 2 percent for Együtt, 1 percent for the Hungarian Liberal Party and 4 percent for LMP. Concerning the most likely party list results, governing parties command 45 percent, while Jobbik has 22 percent, MSZP 10 percent, DK 9 percent, Együtt 2 percent, PM and the Liberals 1 percent each, and LMP stands at 6 percent.

Methodology

Nézőpont Intézet’s telephone public opinion poll was prepared on a 1000-member sample between 12 and 15 August 2016. The sample is representative of the Hungarian population age 18 and older, with respect to sex, age, region, type of residential settlement and educational attainment. In the case of a 1000-member sample, the statistical margin of error is +/- 3.2 percent.

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