Fidesz-KDNP may top its victory from five years ago (54 percent) at the European Parliamentary election on Sunday, according to results from the latest poll by Nézőpont Intézet for Magyar Nemzet newspaper.
At a 32 percent voter turnout there is currently a triple tie in the second place, as the Democratic Coalition, Jobbik and MSZP-P are all expected to score 10 percent. Ferenc Gyurcsány’s party has caught up with the two parties that both had had more supporters previously, and could become the winner in the EP elections. Momentum and the LMP may also get into the European Parliament.
Fidesz-KDNP may get 54 percent of the votes in the European Parliamentary election, according to a poll conducted by Nézőpont Intézet, and with this result, the government parties’ list may get 13 mandates. The party alliance that won 12 seats in the 2014 election may be able to top its previous results with an extra mandate. Currently, a 32 percent voter turnout is expected on Sunday.
Three lists stand a chance for the second place on May 26, as the Democratic Coalition, Jobbik and the MSZP-P party alliance all have 10 percent. The final placement will be decided by who mobilises more effectively on election day. It is almost certain, however, that all three will get two mandates each in the EP.
In addition to the three middle parties, both smaller opposition parties may be able to cross the 5 percent threshold. Momentum may earn 6 percent, and the LMP can expect a 5 percent result, which would be enough for one mandate each. The Two-tailed Dog Party (MKKP) is likely to be awarded 3 percent of the votes, Our Hungary (Mi hazánk) 2 percent percent, and therefore they will not be going to Strasbourg.
The poll was conducted by Nézőpont Intézet between 2-19 May 2019 based on personal interviews with 4,000 people. The sample is representative of the adult population 18 years and over by gender, age, region, settlement type and education level. At an accuracy level of 95 percent the margin of error is 1.6 percent.